Tag Archives: Francois Hollande

What you believe is what you vote.

14 Apr

Tell me what’s your religion, I’ll tell you who will you vote for.  Even in a secular state like France, where laïcité is a part of Constitution and religion kept out of the public sphere and politics, voting intentions based on religion still exist.

Photo credit: Flickr/CC/phoenixdiaz

Catholics vote right

At 57.2%-of which 14% practicing- Catholics make up the majority of voters in France. The survey found that the outgoing president, Nicolas Sarkozy would expect to get 28% of the Catholic vote, while his rival, François Hollande would only get 25%.

Catholic voters are probably seduced by a moderate conservative right, which represents to them  a guarantee of family values, refusal of euthanasia and gay marriage. Furthermore, Nicolas Sarkozy doesn’t miss the opportunity to woo catholic voters, praising the „Christian heritage of France“. At the same time, the Catholics these days seem to be more willing to vote for National front.  Is Marine le Pen more popular than her father Jean-Marie le Pen? She surely made the National Front vote more sexy for Catholics, because the voting intentions expressed in the first round give her 13% of the Catholic vote.

Even though the Church doesn’t give any “guidelines” for voting, last October a collection of some speeches made by Cardinal André Vingt-Trois, the Archbishop of Paris and President was published. It his recent publication, Quelle société voulons-nous? (“What society do we want?”), he says no indication is given as to the vote, but he focuses on the defense of life and of the traditional family.

And let’s not forget about the Civitas movement, closely allied to the Society of  St Pius, that seeks to strengthen the traditional Catholic right and publishes regularly, on the website of the associations, articles against Francois Hollande, threat for a Catholic community.

Muslims vote  left

If  Francois Hollande can’t count on Catholics’ votes, he can surely be happy about the 85% of Muslim voters that would chose him as their candidate for the second election turn.

Traditionally on the left, the Muslim vote will definitely stay that way after the Sarkozy’s  laws  on burqua and the rightification of his politics, with its focus on immigration, radical Islam and Muslim mores.  The tensions rose especially after the tragic bloodshed in Toulouse and the Sarkozy’s ban of  some imams from entering France to the conference organized by the Union of French Islamic Organizations (UOIF).  Of course, Marine le Pen stays the enemy number 1 of Muslim voters because of her pronounced anti-immigration and often anti-Islam discourse.

Religious vote obviously does exist. But even if we count in the Protestants and Jewish voters (which, long close to socialist party tend to move to the right), the religious voters represent merely 30% of electorate. Not enough to decide on the final election result.

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The next French president ? Let’s take a peek at a crystal ball.

30 Mar

You don’t have to be superstitious to consult a psychic. Neither to go to the lost parts of the town to find them in the small smoky tents. The crystal ball is right here, on the web!

Photo credit : Flickr/CC/eschipul

According to the French newspapers, one poll a day, keeps the suspense away. Everyday, depending on the poll, you can find out if  the presidential hopeful François Hollande is ahead-or not- of the current president Nicolas Sarkozy, that Melenchon is rising, Bayrou  falling and so on.

However, if you are more curious, you might want to goggle « Qui sera le nouveau président français? » (Who will be the next French president?) and enjoy the psychics’ explications.

Newspaper France Soir already asked Monsieur Olivier (if you can’t meet him personally, on his website , you can find sms consultations and hotline number !) who saw François Hollande as a new head of the state, facing Marine Le Pen in the second round of presidential elections.

And he was not the only one: my predictions for France in 2012 blog sees Marine le Pen in the second round, without affirming explicitly if she will win the elections and who will be her opponents.  Nicolas Duquerroy, “your psychic and magnetic healer”, agrees with the recent poll results (Sarkozy and Hollande as two presidential favorites9, but predicts the re-election of Nicolas Sarkozy.

Just as the polls,  predictions seem to change on everyday basis. And you know what? From now on you  can participate in the debate. A site called “Journal de demain” (Tomorrow’s newspaper) publishes predictions of  “Journalisme d’intuition” (Journalism of intuition).  If you have visions- whether you are a professional or an amateur- you can publish your predictions on their website. You don’t even have to be French: predicting the future is beyond every national border.

Toulouse drama gives religious fuel to presidential campaign

23 Mar

The dramatic killings that took place in the South of  France this week might change the face of the French presidential campaign.

Find out more on Storify (follow the link to discover the whole story)

Wanted: François Hollande, a danger for Catholicism

2 Mar

While some object him the lack of firmness, Institut Civitas sees the left-wing French candidate at the 2012 presidential elections as an important threat to Catholicism.

Posters/stickers of Institut Civitas

Posters/stickers of Institut Civitas

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Attention, this candidate is harmful for the Catholics! (Attention, candidate nuisible aux Catholiques in French). Two different pictures of the French socialist presidential candidate, a provocative slogan on posters and stickers, sold for three or six euros per ten pieces, depending on their size.

Institut Civitas, a conservative organisation based on the Catholic Church doctrines trying to « re-establish the empire of Christ in the nations of the world, in particular in the French society », attacked Francois Hollande on their web page, claiming that he wants to legalize the homosexual marriage and the child adoption for homosexual couples, legalize euthanasia and constitutionalize the separation between the Church and the State.

At the beginning of the year, Institut invited itself in the French presidential campaign, sending to all the potential candidates a questionnaire to find out more about their positions on faith, family values and education. Even though Francois Hollande never responded directly to these questions, Institut Civitas, decrypted his political speech in Bourget, concluding that  “even though we will not indicate whom should the Catholics vote for, we can say whom you should not vote for”.

However, although in his 60 proposals the candidate mentions the candidate mentions the Church and State separation as well as the right to marriage and child adoption for homosexual couples, Francois Hollande’s position on the euthanasia isn’t clear yet . In the recent interview for the French left-wing magazine Marianne, he even said that he is opposed to that practice.

 

2012 Secularism proposals

10 Feb

What do six French presidential candidates top-rated in opinion polls have to say on the secularism? Let’s take a look at the extracts from their proposals.